Demo
Product · Explore the future

One decision.
Several possible futures.

Run the same population through several scenarios and observe how behaviors, opinions, and balances evolve over time.

Compare two futures
Today100 000individus
Decision
  • Scenario AKeep the decision« proteste »
  • Scenario BChange the decision« hesitates »
  • Scenario CWithdraw« accepte »

The model generates these dynamics under the scenario’s assumptions. Their agreement with real-world developments requires separate validation.

Dynamics

A decision never produces a single effect.

One reaction triggers another. Behaviours change, the environment adapts and the population evolves until a new equilibrium emerges.

  1. TodayDecision
    • Price increase +8%
    The decision is announced. Nothing has moved yet.
  2. ReactionDirect effects
    • Perceived unfairness
    • Reduced consumption
    • Search for alternatives
    The first trade-offs appear.
  3. PropagationIndirect effects
    • Word of mouth
    • Comparison
    • Brand switching
    Each reaction becomes a cause in turn.
  4. AdaptationSystemic effects
    • Shift in usage
    • Competitor response
    The environment adapts in turn.
  5. + 3 ansNew equilibrium
    • Evolution of trust
    A population different from where it started.

We do not produce a point prediction. We simulate a trajectory.

Counterfactual

What if you had decided otherwise?

T0The same population
Scenario AKeep the decision
  1. T0Same population
  2. T+1First divergence
  3. T+3Final population
« proteste »
Scenario BChange the decision
  1. T0Same population
  2. T+1First divergence
  3. T+3Final population
« attend »
  • Acceptability41 %67 %
  • Strong opposition32 %14 %
  • Trust−8 pts+3 pts
Experiment · Tax policy

How can a carbon tax on fuel be introduced without triggering a social crisis?

Starting point
Scenario AFlat taxSame amount for everyone, with no compensation.
Scenario BTax + redistributionFlat national rebate.
Scenario CTax + geographically targeted redistributionRebate calibrated by area and constrained use.
Mass rejection« proteste »
Partial acceptance« hesitates »
Stabilized acceptability« accepte »
What individuals say
  • Illustrative portrait of a synthetic individual, Karim B.
    « I am not refusing to pay. I am refusing to pay without anyone having asked me anything. »
    Karim B.Peri-urban · 42 km commute
  • Illustrative portrait of a synthetic individual, Hélène R.
    « As long as the compensation remains abstract, it does not compensate me for anything. »
    Hélène R.Mid-sized city · no transport alternative
  • Illustrative portrait of a synthetic individual, Malik T.
    « If the rebate is visible in my local area, the measure becomes acceptable. »
    Malik T.Metropolitan area · occasional constrained use

The rejection is not only about taxation.
It is linked to a feeling of political exclusion.

The chosen design changed the perceived governance of the tax, not its amount.

Acceptability41 %
Selected scenario67 %
Decision memory
  1. 2026
  2. 2027
  3. 2028
  4. Replay

The population is preserved. The scenario can be replayed when reality changes.

TodayOne population
  • Future A« quitte »
  • Future B
  • Future C« recommande »

The future is not a line.
It is a space to explore.

Your next decision

Which decision do you want to explore?

Describe your need. We can point you to the right level of support.

Talk about your project →

Your decision already exists
in several futures.

Explore them before choosing one.

Case studies